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The Coming 4-Party System

March 23, 2018

One of the advantages of being a conservative academic is that you get to know many others who share your views. There aren’t many, so by attending a couple of meetings or events at policy or scholarly organizations, you get to meet many of them. Three days ago I exchanged messages with a brilliant young historian who is an Adjunct Instructor in a conservative online program.

I don’t recall where we met, but one of these four organizations are places where scholars like him can be found.

The Academy of Philosophy and Letters

Ciceronian Society

Philadelphia Society

Cato Institute

I’ve attended and spoken at events of each and see in them what remains of the old “conservative Movement” that was so much a vital part of American politics from about 1955 to 1980. My young colleague and I discussed the coming realignment of our two party system.

Today, for a number of reasons, our political system is undergoing a realignment that may lead to replacing our two Party system with a multi-party system like that in Europe. Intellectual forces shaping these new parties include:

  1. “Socialism”—the utopian desire to replace traditional society as received by means of the state. Socialism has been the bedrock of social and economic policy of the Democrat Party since the beginning of the Progressive movement and was fashioned originally by French idealists.
  2. Neoconservatism, disaffected Democrats who lust for an imperial government devoted to expansion of Enlightenment ideals and–during the days that the Soviet Union endured—anti-communist. When the Soviet Union collapsed, the anti-communist motivation was dissolved along with the link to the GOP. John Podhoretz (Commentary) and Bill Kristol (The Weekly Standard) are now commentators on MSNBC, the voice of Democrat opposition to President Trump.
  3. Limited government, free market, Supply-side advocates.

The election of 2016 was a watershed because it exposed a lack of leadership in the GOP that had not rejected the civil religion of democracy of George W. Bush and his imperial war policies. Only Trump and Rand Paul knew what the voters wanted and Trump prevailed.

So here’s the coming realignment when the breakup of our two party system occurs:

1.  “Right” or “New“ Traditional Democrats—aligned with Neoconservatives and some Trump Republicans

2.  Progressive Democrats

3.  The traditional  GOP aligned with Neoconservatives and conservatives

4.  A new National Conservative Party

On the periphery of these four parties we’ll find Evangelical Protestants and Fundamentalists who see the End of Days in our time, Catholics motivated to achieve Social Justice and Neoconservatives.

The Protestants will align with the  New Democrats and Trump Republicans, the Catholic advocates of Social Justice with the Progressive Democrats and the Neoconservatives may become active in establishing a “Right” or “New” Democrat Party that succeeds the Trump Republican Party.

The conservative “movement” was not an effective force in 2016—it had lost its integrity and became a business–but faced with extinction, it is likely that some politically active conservatives will form a National Conservative Party.

James Pinkerton believes that we will always have a two party system, so the four groups cited here will coalesce into two. When they coalesce, the National Conservative Party will attract conservative Republicans like Jim Jordan (R-OH) and even some New “Traditional” Democrats.

All this is temporary because, ultimately, these coalitions will be washed away by the “Millennials” who are socialists in the French mold.

 

 

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